Model Forecasts Democratic Gains in US Midterm Elections
A forecasting model suggests Democrats could win 230 of the 435 House seats. It also suggests they could win 18 of the 35 Senate seats being contested in the US midterm elections.
Context
Context: US midterm elections take place in the middle of a president's four-year term and decide control of Congress. Every House seat and about a third of Senate seats are contested, so the results shape how much a president can get done.
Burning Potato score: 58%